How To Use Stochastic Oscillator Indicator In Forex Trading: Ultimate Guide For New Traders

How To Use Stochastic Oscillator Indicator In Forex Trading: Ultimate Guide For New Traders

What’s up Traders, in this article, we’re going to be talking about using Stochastic Oscillator in Forex Trading. The stochastic oscillator, often known as the stochastic indicator, is a popular trading indicator that can aid with trend reversal prediction. 

It also looks at price momentum and can be used to spot overbought and oversold levels in stocks, indices, currencies, and a variety of other financial instruments. Continue reading to learn how to trade using the stochastic indicator.

 

What is a Stochastic Oscillator and How does it work?

 

  • What can you learn from the Stochastic Oscillator?
  • An overview of the past
  • How to use the Stochastic Oscillator in action
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator are two different indicators
  • The Stochastic Oscillator’s limitations

A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s closing price to a range of its prices over a given time period. 

By altering the time period or taking a rolling average of the result, the oscillator’s susceptibility to market changes can be reduced. 

It uses a 0–100 defined range of values to generate overbought and oversold trading signals.

A stochastic oscillator is a widely used technical indicator for detecting overbought and oversold conditions. It’s a well-known momentum indicator that dates back to the 1950s.

Because stochastic oscillators are based on an asset’s price history, they tend to fluctuate around a mean price level.

The Stochastic Oscillator’s formula is:

The Stochastic Oscillator's formula is

Where:

C = The most recent closing price

L14 = The lowest price traded of the 14 previous

trading sessions

H14 = The highest price traded during the same

14-day period

%K = The current value of the stochastic indicator

The fast stochastic indicator is frequently referred to as percent K. The “slow” stochastic indicator is calculated as percent D = percent K 3-period moving average.

Prices close near the high in a market heading upward, and prices close near the low in a market trending downward, according to the broad idea that underpins this indication. 

When the percent K crosses through the percent D, a three-period moving average, transaction signals are generated.

The Slow percent K integrates a percent K slowing period of 3 that governs the internal smoothing of percent K, which is the difference between the slow and fast Stochastic Oscillators. 

Plotting the Fast Stochastic Oscillator is comparable to setting the smoothing period to 1.

 

What can you learn from the Stochastic Oscillator?

The stochastic oscillator is range-bound, which means it always oscillates between zero and one hundred. 

As a result, it can be used to spot overbought and oversold conditions. Values over 80 are traditionally regarded overbought, while readings under 20 are considered oversold.

However, these are not always indications of an oncoming reversal; very strong trends can persist for a long time in overbought or oversold levels. 

Traders could instead search for hints regarding future trend shifts in the stochastic oscillator.

The charting of a stochastic oscillator usually consists of two lines: one indicating the oscillator’s actual value for each session, and the other reflecting its three-day simple moving average. 

Because price is supposed to follow momentum, the intersection of these two lines is taken as an indication that a reversal is imminent, as it signals a significant movement in momentum from day to day.

Divergence between the stochastic oscillator and the trending price action is also seen as a key reversal indication. 

When a negative trend achieves a new lower low but the oscillator prints a higher low, it could indicate that the bears are losing steam and a bullish reversal is on the way.

When a negative trend achieves a new lower low but the oscillator prints a higher low
(Source: Investopedia)

An overview of the past

George Lane invented the stochastic oscillator in the late 1950s. The stochastic oscillator, as designed by Lane, displays the location of a stock’s closing price in relation to its high and low range over a period of time, often a 14-day period. 

Lane has stated multiple times in interviews that the stochastic oscillator does not follow price, volume, or anything else. He claims that the oscillator tracks the price’s pace or momentum.

In interviews, Lane also indicates that, on average, the momentum or speed of a stock’s price changes before the price changes. 

When the stochastic oscillator shows bullish or bearish divergences, the indicator can be utilised to predict reversals. 

Lane regarded this indication as the earliest and, probably, the most important trading signal.

 

How to use the Stochastic Oscillator in action

Most charting software includes a stochastic oscillator, which is simple to use in practise. The normal time duration is 14 days, although this can be changed to fulfil specific analytical requirements. 

Calculate the stochastic oscillator by subtracting the period’s low from the current closing price, dividing by the period’s total range, and multiplying by 100. 

For instance, if the 14-day high is $150, the low is $125, and the current close is $145, the current session reading would be (145-125) / (150 – 125) * 100, or 80.

The stochastic oscillator displays the consistency with which the price closes near its recent high or low by comparing the current price to the range across time. 

A value of 80 indicates that the asset is approaching overbought territory.

 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator are two different indicators

Price momentum oscillators such as the relative strength index (RSI) and the stochastic oscillator are commonly utilised in technical analysis. 

Despite the fact that they are frequently employed together, they have different underlying theories and methodologies. 

The stochastic oscillator is based on the idea that closing prices should follow the current trend.

Meanwhile, the RSI measures the velocity of price fluctuations to track overbought and oversold levels. 

To put it another way, the RSI was created to gauge the rapidity of market changes, whereas the stochastic oscillator formula performs best in trading ranges that are consistent.

The RSI is generally more beneficial in trending markets, whereas stochastics are more useful in sideways or turbulent markets.

 

The Stochastic Oscillator’s limitations

The stochastic oscillator’s main flaw is that it has been known to produce false indications. 

This occurs when the indicator generates a trading signal but the price does not follow through, resulting in a loss trade. 

This might happen on a frequent basis during volatile market conditions. Using the price trend as a filter, where signals are only taken if they are in the same direction as the trend, is one technique to aid with this.

 

How can I read and interpret the Stochastic Oscillator?

The stochastic oscillator, created by George C. Lane in the 1950s, is one of a few momentum indicators used by analysts and traders to identify probable reversals. 

The stochastic oscillator compares the most recent closing price to the range for a certain period rather than measuring price or volume.

The normal time is 14 days, however it can be customised to fulfil specific analytical requirements. 

Subtracting the period’s low from the current closing price, dividing by the period’s total range, and multiplying by 100 yields the stochastic oscillator.

If the 14-day high is 150, the low is 125, and the current close is 145, the current session’s reading would be (145-125)/(150-125)*100, or 80.

The stochastic oscillator displays the consistency with which price closes near its recent high or low by comparing current price to the range across time.

The stochastic oscillator is range-bound, which means it always oscillates between zero and one hundred. 

As a result, it can be used to spot overbought and oversold conditions. Values over 80 are traditionally regarded overbought, while readings under 20 are considered oversold.

However, these are not always indications of an oncoming reversal; very strong trends can persist for a long time in overbought or oversold levels. 

Traders could instead search for hints regarding future trend shifts in the stochastic oscillator.

The charting of a stochastic oscillator usually consists of two lines: one indicating the oscillator’s actual value for each session, and the other reflecting its three-day simple moving average. 

Because price is supposed to follow momentum, the intersection of these two lines is taken as an indication that a reversal is imminent, as it signals a significant movement in momentum from day to day.

Divergence between the stochastic oscillator and the trending price action is also seen as a key reversal indication. 

When a negative trend achieves a new lower low but the oscillator prints a higher low, it could indicate that the bears are losing steam and a bullish reversal is on the way.

 

An accurate Buy and Sell Indicator is Stochastics

 

  • Price Movement (Price Action)
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI)
  • The formula
  • Examining the Diagram
  • About Stochastics and How to work?
  • What are the Benefits of using Stochastics in Trading?
  • What is the meaning of a Stochastic Stock Chart?
  • What is the best way to make Stochastic Charts in Excel?

George Lane invented stochastics in the late 1950s, which is an indicator that examines the relationship between an issue’s closing price and its price range over a set period of time. 

To this day, stochastics remain a popular technical indicator because they are simple to comprehend and have a solid track record for predicting whether it is time to buy or sell a security.

Because they are simple to grasp and have a high degree of accuracy, stochastics are a popular technical indicator.

It belongs to the oscillator family of technical indicators. Traders can use the indicator to join or exit positions based on momentum buy and sell signals.

The stochastic indicator is used to determine when a stock has become overbought or oversold. To confirm a signal, stochastics should be used in conjunction with other techniques such as the relative strength index (RSI).

 

Price Movement (Price Action)

When a stock is trending upwards, stochastics predicts that its closing price will be at the high end of the day’s range. 

For example, if a stock opened at $10 and moved as low as $9.75 before closing at $10.50 for the day, the price action or range would be between $9.75 (the day’s low) and $10.75 (the day’s high) (the high of the day). 

In the case of a negative price movement, the closing price tends to trade at or near the day’s trading session’s low range.

Stochastics is a technical indicator that shows whether a stock has become overbought or oversold. 

The number fourteen is the most commonly used mathematical number in the time mode. It can symbolise days, weeks, or months, depending on the technician’s purpose. 

A chartist could wish to look at an entire industry. The chartist would begin by looking at 14 months of the entire industry’s trading range for a long-term assessment of the sector.

 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The relative strength index (RSI), a prominent momentum indicator used in technical analysis with a range of 0 to 100, is an example of such an oscillator. 

It’s commonly set between 20 and 80 degrees Fahrenheit or 30 and 70 degrees Fahrenheit. 

Using stochastics and the RSI together, whether you’re looking at a sector or an individual issue, can be really advantageous.

 

The formula

The K and D lines are used to calculate stochastics. However, we pay special attention to the D line, as it will reveal any big signals in the chart. 4 The K line is represented mathematically as follows:

The fast stochastic indicator is frequently referred to as percent K. The 3-period moving average of percent K yields the “slow” stochastic, or percent D.

 

Examining the Diagram

The K line is the faster of the two, while the D line is the slower. The investor should keep an eye on the D line and the issue’s price when they begin to shift into overbought (above the 80 line) or oversold (below the 20 line) territory.

When the indicator rises above 80, the investor should consider selling the shares. 

On the other hand, an investor should consider purchasing an issue that is trading below the 20-line and is beginning to go higher with increased volume.

Many articles have been written throughout the years about “tweaking” this indicator. New investors, on the other hand, should focus on the fundamentals of stochastics.

During the spring and summer months of 2001, as shown in the eBay chart
(Source: Investopedia)

During the spring and summer months of 2001, as shown in the eBay chart above, a number of clear buying opportunities presented themselves. 

A lot of sell signs would have caught the attention of short-term traders as well. 

Early in April, a strong buy signal would have offered both investors and traders a fantastic 12-day run, ranging from the mid $30s to the mid $50s.

 

About Stochastics and How to work?

Stochastics are a series of oscillator indicators used in technical analysis that point to buying or selling opportunities based on momentum. 

The term stochastic is used in statistics to describe something that has a probability distribution, such as a random variable. 

This phrase is used in trading to denote that a security’s present price can be tied to a range of probable outcomes or to its price range over a given time period.

 

What are the Benefits of using Stochastics in Trading?

The stochastic indicator creates a range with values ranging from 0 to 100. A value of 80 or higher indicates that a security is overbought and should be sold. Oversold readings of 20 or less are considered a buy signal.

 

What is the meaning of a Stochastic Stock Chart?

The stochastic oscillator, which often appears in its own window below the price, can be added on top of a security’s price chart by technical traders. 

At the 80 and 20 levels of the index, as well as the mean, a horizontal line is usually drawn (50). A trade signal is generated when the stochastic line goes below 20 or rises above 80.

 

What is the best way to make Stochastic Charts in Excel?

If you have data on a security’s closing prices, you can import it into Excel to calculate percent K. 

You’d subtract the highest high in your lookback period from the most recent closing price and put that in the numerator of a fraction. 

You’d use the difference between the highest high and lowest low prices over the same time period as the denominator. Then multiply by a factor of 100.

 

Final Thoughts

Because of the accuracy of its conclusions, stochastics is a popular technical indicator. 

It is simply understood by both experienced and rookie technicians, and it tends to assist all investors in making sound entry and exit decisions on their holdings.

Is Day Trading effective with a Slow Stochastic?

 

  • About Stochastic Oscillator in action
  • Fast Stochastic vs. Slow Stochastic
  • Why use a Slow Stochastic process?

Finding the right technical tools to employ in day trading can be tough, given the hundreds of indicators available to traders. 

The good news is that most indicators may be employed in day trading by simply changing the number of time periods used in their creation.

Most traders are used to seeing each indicator calculate each daily close as one period. 

But they quickly forget that the interpretation is the same regardless of whether the data utilised in one period is equivalent to a day, a minute, a week, a month, or a quarter.

 

About Stochastic Oscillator in action

The above computation is typically done over a 14-day period, although traders frequently change this time to make the indicator more or less sensitive to changes in the price of the underlying asset.

Prices should close near the highs in an upward going market, and near the lows in a downward falling market.

 

Fast Stochastic vs. Slow Stochastic

The values for the percent D and percent K inputs determine the “speed” of a stochastic oscillator. The fast stochastic is the outcome obtained by applying the formula above.

Some traders believe that this indicator is overly sensitive to price movements, causing them to exit positions prematurely. 

The slow stochastic was created to tackle this problem by applying a three-period moving average to the percent K of the fast computation.

*Fast: use a 3-day moving average (MA) of percent K instead of the formula provided above.

*Slow: replace percent K with Fast D percent (i.e. the MA of percent K); D percent with an MA of slow K percent.

Using a three-period moving average of the fast stochastic’s percent K to improve the quality of transaction signals and lower the amount of false crossovers has proven to be successful. 

Following the application of the first moving average to the fast stochastic’s percent K, a three-period moving average is applied to the slow stochastic’s percent D, resulting in the slow stochastic’s percent D. 

Close examination reveals that the slow stochastic’s percent K is the same as the fast stochastic’s percent D (signal line).

 

Why use a Slow Stochastic process?

Because it decreases the risk of establishing a position based on a false signal, the slow stochastic is one of the most common indicators used by day traders. 

A rapid stochastic can be compared to a speedboat since it is agile and can easily shift courses in response to market activity. 

A slow stochastic, on the other hand, behaves more like an aircraft carrier in that changing direction requires more input.

A slow stochastic measures the location of the most recent closing price in relation to the high and low over the previous 14 periods in general. 

The main assumption when utilising this indicator is that an asset’s price would trade towards the top of the range in an uptrend and near the bottom in a downturn.

When utilised by day traders, this indication is quite useful, but one issue that may emerge is that some charting services may not have it as an option on their charts. 

If this is the case for you, you might want to reconsider the charting service you use.

 

How can I make a Forex Trading Strategy with the Stochastic Oscillator?

The stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator used extensively in forex trading to identify probable trend reversals. 

The closing price is compared to the trading range over a particular period to determine momentum.

The charted stochastic oscillator actually consists of two lines: percent K, which represents the indicator, and percent D, which represents the three-day simple moving average (SMA) of percent K. 

When these two lines cross, it indicates that a trend shift is on the way.

A downward cross of the signal line in a chart with a pronounced bullish trend, for example, shows that the most recent closing price is closer to the lowest low of the look-back period than it has been in the preceding three sessions. 

A quick drop to the lower end of the trading range after continuous rising price movement could indicate that bulls are losing steam.

The stochastic oscillator, like other range-bound momentum oscillators like the relative strength index (RSI) and Williams percent R, is useful for recognising overbought and oversold conditions. 

The stochastic oscillator, which has a range of 0 to 100, displays overbought conditions with readings above 80 and oversold conditions with readings under 20. 

Crossovers in these extreme ranges are thought to be extremely powerful signals. Crossover indications that do not occur at these extremes are often overlooked by traders.

Look for a currency pair that has a pronounced and long-term bullish trend when developing a trade strategy based on the stochastic oscillator in the forex market. 

With price approaching a previous area of resistance, the ideal currency pair has already spent some time in overbought territory. Look for dwindling volume as another sign of bullish weariness.

Keep an eye out for price to follow the stochastic oscillator down through the signal line. 

Wait for price to confirm the downturn before entering, even though these combined signs are a strong predictor of coming reversal. Momentum oscillators are known to throw false signals from time to time.

When you combine this setup with candlestick charting techniques, you can improve your strategy even more and get clearer entry and exit signals.

 

Pairing the Stochastic Oscillator with the best Technical Indicators

 

  • Why is the Stochastic Oscillator price sensitive?
  • Stochastic Oscillator to pair with Technical Indicators 

A prominent momentum indicator is the stochastic oscillator. It compares the price range over a specified time period to the period’s closing price. 

It is extremely sensitive to market price swings and oscillates up and down more frequently than practically any other momentum indicator.

 

Why is the Stochastic Oscillator price sensitive?

This price sensitivity can provide early warnings of a market’s direction change, but it can also provide a lot of misleading signals. 

The sensitivity of the stochastic oscillator can be lowered by changing the time period or utilising a moving average of the oscillator’s value.

The stochastic oscillator’s basic principle is that in an up-trending market, prices close around the high, whereas in a down-trending market, prices close near the low. 

When the percent K line crosses over the percent D, a three-period moving average line, trading signals are generated.

 

Stochastic Oscillator to pair with Technical Indicators 

Moving average crossovers and other momentum oscillators are two of the strongest technical indicators to use in conjunction with the stochastic oscillator.

Moving average crossovers can be utilised as a supplement to the stochastic oscillator’s crossover trading signals. 

A bullish crossover confirms an upward trend when a short-term moving average crosses from below to above a long-term moving average. A bearish crossover adds to the evidence that a downtrend is present.

The stochastic oscillator can be supplemented with other momentum indicators such as the relative strength index (RSI) or the moving average convergence divergence (MACD). 

To corroborate the stochastic oscillator’s indication, either of these commonly-used momentum indicators might be examined for indications that are in agreement with it.

 

Final words

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